Cryptographic signature.

• More IPv6 deployment.

• Whack-a-mole with automated bots on social media. The war with spam email was a long one. This one may be too. My guess is that in the end, the bots will lose out, maybe via some kind of zero-knowledge proof of identity stuff.

• YouTube cracking down on ad-blocking.

• Continued rise of dark-mode interfaces.

• Either a general acceptance of least-common-denominator stuff (e.g. accepting that one can’t restrict what content is visible that might come from some other country) or an increasing number of countries mandating that their ISPs block stuff that they want blocked. If the blocking happens, probably an increase in use of software that seeks to evade such blocking.

I do wonder a bit what the impact will be from the shift we’ve seen from PCs being the primary way to access the Internet to mobile devices. Like, for example:

https://www.thetimes.com/world/us-world/article/touch-typing-learn-practice-gen-z-speed-rjhlvrb00

In 2000, 44% of American high school students had taken a keyboard skills course, but by 2019 this had fallen to 2.5%.

In the US, teachers say that they have often assumed that young people can type because they spend so long with their devices. But students say they often use tablet devices or their phones instead, making them proficient at scrolling and tapping, but less skilled at typing.

If the ability to touch-type goes into serious decline, the ability to enter text rapidly will as well, and I’d expect that to have various knock-on effects in UI; brevity of input text may become more important.

• Images and video becoming less proof-of-truth. We can synthesize pretty good photograph-looking images of things now. Probably going to get there with video, too. My bet is that the advantage is and will be on the side of synthesizing content, not of detecting that an image is synthesized. We might need to go back to the era before we had recording devices, when we relied upon specialized, trustworthy people putting their reputation on the line to attest to things. Maybe that, rather than photographs or video, will be what we see on Web pages to show that something is true.

Some things that I don’t expect to see:

• The rise of VR as the primary mechanism to navigate the Internet, a la the Metaverse in Snow Crash or the probably-named-after-it Metaverse that Facebook’s banged on. Various people have tried various implementations, and it hasn’t caught on. I am skeptical that it makes a lot of sense — working in 2D works pretty well for most things.

• Voice interaction becoming the primary mode of communication or computer control, not unless we get some sort of sensors and systems that can pick up subvocalization or something. You can’t control software near other people via voice without being obnoxious.

Mother fuckers just base 58 that shit.

I’m assuming that this is the point you’re making, but just to clarify:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base32

The most widely used[citation needed] base32 alphabet is defined in RFC 4648 §6 and the earlier RFC 3548 (2003). The scheme was originally designed in 2000 by John Myers for SASL/GSSAPI.[2] It uses an alphabet of A–Z, followed by 2–7. The digits 0, 1 and 8 are skipped due to their similarity with the letters O, I and B (thus “2” has a decimal value of 26).

This is generally considered to be a preferable encoding for things like this.

• RAM prices will continue to rise for at least the first half of the year, just going on the fact that I’ve read plenty of statements to that extent and no disagreement.

• The Democrats will win control of the House in the US in the midterm elections. That’ll set off a number of investigations which will have Trump and Trump cabinet members spending a lot of time in House hearings, and news about that will be a major news item for the next two years, as the parties angle for political advantage there.

• xAI will not build an artificial general intelligence. Elon Musk will, following tradition, issue a new prediction as to how AGI is imminent and maybe one more year down the road.

• The Trump administration will not invade Canada or Greenland. Trump will continue to suggest that he might whenever a topic comes up that he doesn’t want news coverage of, the present undesirable topic being the expiring ACA subsidy and people’s healthcare prices going up.

I remember the “are the Doom developers Satanists” era. Oh, and there was Night Trap, when CD-ROMs came out and games incorporating full-motion video had their brief time in the sun. IIRC Congress had a fit about that for a while too.

EDIT: And Mortal Kombat.

EDIT2: And Jack Thompson.

Thompson charged that the group placed “homosexual-education tapes” in public schools.

Thompson has heavily criticized a number of video games and campaigned against their producers and distributors. His basic argument is that violent video games have repeatedly been used by teenagers as “murder simulators” to rehearse violent plans.

EDIT3: Clips from 1993 Congressional hearings:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lhwM3ZMTCR0

I don’t know what a Halo battleship is (like…a spaceship in the Halo series?), but basically an amphibious assault ship — can deploy amphibious craft and aircraft — with a deck gun, cruise missiles, SAM array, CIWS, and torpedoes, so kinda an agglomeration of multiple modern-day real-world ship types. Yeah, and then you can either have AI control with you giving orders or you directly control the vehicles.

There have been a couple games in the line. Carrier Command, a very old game, which I’ve never played. Hostile Waters: Anteus Rising, which is a spiritual successor and is oriented around a single-player campaign. Carrier Command 2, which is really principally a multi-player game, but can be played single-player if you can manage the workload and handle all the roles concurrently; I play it single-player. I like both, though I wish that the last games had a more-sophisticated single-player setup. Not a lot of “fleet command” games out there.

But in this context, it’s one of the games I can think of, like Race the Sun or some older games, Avara, Spectre, Star Fox, AV-8B Harrier Assault/Flying Nightmares that use untextured polygons as a major element of the game’s graphics. Rez wasn’t untextured, but it made a lot of use of untextured polygons and wireframe. Just saying that one can make a decent 3D game, and one that has an attractive aesthetic, without spending memory on textures at all.

I think that there should be realistic video games. Not all video games, certainly, but I don’t think that we should avoid ever trying to make video games with a high level of graphical realism.

I don’t particularly have any issue specific to violence. Like, I don’t particularly subscribe to past concerns over the years in various countries that no realistic violence should be portrayed in video games, and humans should be replaced by zombies or blood should be green or whatever.

Whether or not specifically the Grand Theft Auto series should use realistic characters or stick with the more-cartoony representations that it used in the past is, I think, a harder question. I don’t have a hard opinion on it, though personally I enjoyed and played through Grand Theft Auto 3 and never bothered to get through the more-realistic, gritty, Grand Theft Auto 5. Certainly I think that it’s quite possible to make very good games that are not photorealistic. And given the current RAM shortages, if there’s ever been a good time to maybe pull back a bit on more-photorealistic graphics in order to reduce RAM requirements, this seems like a good time.

Yesterday, I was playing Carrier Command 2. That uses mostly untextured polygons for its graphics, and it’s a perfectly fine game. I have other, many more photorealistic, games available, and the hardware to run them, but that happened to be more appealing.

EDIT: I just opened it, and with it running, it increased the VRAM usage on my video card by 1.1 GB. Not very VRAM-dependent. And it is pretty, at least in my eyes.

So, it’s not really a problem I’ve run into, but I’ve met a lot of people who have difficulty on Windows understanding where they’ve saved something, but do remember that they’ve worked on or looked at it at some point in the past.

My own suspicion is that part of this problem stems from the fact that back in the day, DOS had a not-incredibly-aimed-at-non-technical-users filesystem layout, and Windows tried to avoid this by hiding that and stacking an increasingly number of “virtual” interfaces on top of things that didn’t just show one the filesystem, whether it be the Start menu or Windows Explorer and file dialogs having a variety of things other than just the filesystem to navigate around. The result is that you have had Microsoft banging away for much of the lifetime of Windows trying to add more ways to access files, most of which increase the difficulty of actually understanding what is going on fully through the extra layers. But regardless of why, some users do have trouble with it.

So if you can just provide a search that can summon up that document where they were working on that had a picture of giraffes by typing “giraffe” into some search field, maybe that’ll do it.

I don’t use OpenHAB or Home Assistant, but I’d be extremely surprised if they don’t have existing functionality for connecting microphones, speakers, and LLMs to set up voice-controlled stuff.

searches

https://heywillow.io/

Willow Is a Practical, Open Source, Privacy-focused Platform for Voice Assistants and Other Applications

Willow is an ESP IDF based project primarily targeting the ESP32-S3-BOX hardware family from Espressif. Our goal is to provide Amazon Echo/Google Home competitive performance, accuracy, cost and functionality with Home Assistant, openHAB and other platforms.

100% open source and completely self-hosted by the user with “ready for the kitchen counter” low cost commercially available hardware.

https://rhasspy.readthedocs.io/en/latest/

Rhasspy (ɹˈæspi) is an open source, fully offline set of voice assistant services for many human languages that works well with:

• Hermes protocol compatible services (Snips.AI)
• Home Assistant and Hass.io
• Node-RED
• Jeedom
• OpenHAB

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Digit_(unit)

Britain

Main article: English units of measurement

A digit (lat. digitus, “finger”), when used as a unit of length, is usually a sixteenth of a foot or 3/4" (1.905 cm for the international inch).[6] The width of an adult human male finger tip is indeed about 2 centimetres.

Full standardization on decidigits it is!

We’d have achievement parties, work on multiplayer cheevos, and just compete for the highest gamescore in general.

I take it that “cheevo” is what people are calling achievements now.

My understanding from a very brief skim of what Microsoft was doing with Copilot is to take screenshots constantly, run image recognition on it, and then make it searchable as text and have the ability to go back and view those screenshots in a timeline. Basically, adding more search without requiring application-level support.

They may also have other things that they want to do, but that was at least one.

EDIT: They specifically called that feature “Recall”, and it was apparently the “flagship” feature of Copilot.

Not the position Dell is taking, but I’ve been skeptical that building AI hardware directly into specifically laptops is a great idea unless people have a very concrete goal, like text-to-speech, and existing models to run on it, probably specialized ones. This is not to diminish AI compute elsewhere.

Several reasons.

• Models for many useful things have been getting larger, and you have a bounded amount of memory in those laptops, which, at the moment, generally can’t be upgraded (though maybe CAMM2 will improve the situation, move back away from soldered memory). Historically, most users did not upgrade memory in their laptop, even if they could. Just throwing the compute hardware there in the expectation that models will come is a bet on the size of the models that people might want to use not getting a whole lot larger. This is especially true for the next year or two, since we expect high memory prices, and people probably being priced out of sticking very large amounts of memory in laptops.

• Heat and power. The laptop form factor exists to be portable. They are not great at dissipating heat, and unless they’re plugged into wall power, they have sharp constraints on how much power they can usefully use.

• The parallel compute field is rapidly evolving. People are probably not going to throw out and replace their laptops on a regular basis to keep up with AI stuff (much as laptop vendors might be enthusiastic about this).

I think that a more-likely outcome, if people want local, generalized AI stuff on laptops, is that someone sells an eGPU-like box that plugs into power and into a USB port or via some wireless protocol to the laptop, and the laptop uses it as an AI accelerator. That box can be replaced or upgraded independently of the laptop itself.

When I do generative AI stuff on my laptop, for the applications I use, the bandwidth that I need to the compute box is very low, and latency requirements are very relaxed. I presently remotely use a Framework Desktop as a compute box, and can happily generate images or text or whatever over the cell network without problems. If I really wanted disconnected operation, I’d haul the box along with me.

EDIT: I’d also add that all of this is also true for smartphones, which have the same constraints, and harder limitations on heat, power, and space. You can hook one up to an AI accelerator box via wired or wireless link if you want local compute, but it’s going to be much more difficult to deal with the limitations inherent to the phone form factor and do a lot of compute on the phone itself.

EDIT2: If you use a high-bandwidth link to such a local, external box, bonus: you also potentially get substantially-increased and upgradeable graphical capabilities on the laptop or smartphone if you can use such a box as an eGPU, something where having low-latency compute available is actually quite useful.

I know open ai bought ~40% of microns memory production.

IIRC Micron was the only Big Three DRAM manufacturer that OpenAI didn’t sign a contract with. I think that they signed contracts with SK Hynix and Samsung for their supply, and didn’t with Micron.

searches

Yeah:

https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/01/openai-ropes-in-samsung-sk-hynix-to-source-memory-chips-for-stargate/

OpenAI ropes in Samsung, SK Hynix to source memory chips for Stargate

Not signing was actually probably to Micron’s advantage; I understand that OpenAI didn’t let Samsung know that they were negotiating with SK Hynix and didn’t let SK Hynix that they were negotiating with Samsung and signed both deals concurrently. That is, each of Samsung and SK Hynix probably sold the DRAM that went to OpenAI for less than they could have gotten on the open market, since neither was aware at the time of signing that the supply on the open market outside of themselves would sharply decrease during the period of the contract, which would be expected to drive up prices.

I mean, they still made a lot more money than they had been making. Just that they could have probably managed to get even more money for the DRAM that they sold.

IIRC the 40% number was OpenAI signing for 40% of global production output, not for any particular company’s output.

According to TrendForce, the boom is expected to continue, as conventional DRAM contract prices in 1Q26 are forecast to rise 55–60% QoQ, while NAND Flash prices are expected to increase 33–38% QoQ.

And that’s in an environment where DRAM output is significantly ramping up:

https://www.theverge.com/news/847344/micron-ram-memory-shortage-2026-earnings

Micron aims to ramp up production and expects to increase its shipments of DRAM and NAND flash memory by 20 percent next year

https://www.tweaktown.com/news/109011/sk-hynix-to-boost-dram-production-by-a-huge-8x-in-2026-still-wont-be-enough-for-ram-shortages/index.html

SK hynix to boost DRAM production by a huge 8x in 2026, still won’t be enough for RAM shortages

EDIT: Also:

The memory sector has surged into a full-blown seller’s market, with both South Korean giants rejecting long-term agreements (LTAs) of two to threes years and sticking to quarterly contracts, anticipating stepwise DRAM price increases each quarter through 2027, the report suggests.

Just a few years ago, they were losing a ton of money due to low DRAM prices, so I imagine that rejecting long-term contracts at current (already high) prices drives even more home that they expect demand to increase further relative to supply:

https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/SK-HYNIX-INC-6494929/news/SK-Hynix-reports-Q2-loss-as-chip-glut-continues-44417161/

SK Hynix reports Q2 loss as chip glut continues

SEOUL (Reuters) -South Korea’s SK Hynix posted a quarterly operating loss on Wednesday, as the company said the memory chip market is beginning to recover from a deep downturn.

Published on 07/25/2023 at 07:29 pm EDT

“Open source” really isn’t the right term here, if they’re just releasing API specifications. “Open sourcing” the speakers would be releasing the source code to the software that runs on the speakers.

Like, all of Microsoft’s libraries on Windows have a publicly-documented interface. That hardly makes them open source. Just means that people can write software that make use of them.

He’s still not sure Niemannn cheated, though. “It is of course suspicious,” he said. “But it could be luck or it could be that Magnus had a bad day… maybe it’s not even possible to do this. That’s why I thought to make this program. Let people try. Maybe if people figure out it doesn’t even work at all, then this whole theory of butt plugs was just a waste of time.”

Hmm. Actually…you probably can actually determine it. Assuming that the device’s radio is talking Bluetooth, which not all do, if anyone had a cell phone near the environment, and made use of Google’s or Apple’s Location Services, said companies probably have a log of it responding to beacons. Those location services work by broadcasting a beacon to Bluetooth and WiFi devices and uploading their MAC address and signal strength of the response to Google and Apple, who then compare it to prior position reports and IDs and strengths to determine a position, so there’ll be a log of devices and their active periods floating around in their databases.

looks confused

searches

Ah.

https://www.vice.com/en/article/did-hans-neimann-cheat-at-chess-with-a-sex-toy-this-coder-is-attempting-to-find-out/

A cheating controversy rocking the chess world just won’t let up. One conspiracy theory promoted by Elon Musk without evidence is that young chess wiz Hans Niemannn defeated world chess champion Magnus Carlsen in early September with the aid of a vibrating set of anal beads.

It’s an intriguing idea, but is such a thing even possible? Ron Sijm, a software engineer in the Netherlands, wants to find out and has developed software to test the theory. He’s posted the code to open-source coding platform GitHub, and all he needs now is the right sex toy.

With the code built, Sijm started hunting for a butt plug or set of anal beads to test his theory. He’s turned to a community that knows the systems best, the butt plug sex toy control project Buttplug.io. Sijm has been talking with the folks on Buttplug.io Discord server in an effort to find someone who already has a device and is willing to test the software.

Sijm said coding out the basic software took about four hours and that, hypothetically, it would be easy for someone like Niemann or his team to put together. The list of compatible anal vibrating devices is long.

https://hypebeast.com/2026/1/razer-project-ava-ai-companion-3d-hologram-kira-zane-faker-sao-release-info

Razer has officially pulled the curtain back on Project AVA, a “Friend for Life” AI desk companion featuring a 5.5-inch 3D holographic display. Moving beyond simple voice assistants, AVA utilizes human-like vision and audio sensing to provide full contextual awareness, acting as a real-time gaming wingman, professional consultant, and personal organizer.

The hardware is a sleek cylindrical unit equipped with a dual far-field mic array, an HD camera with ambient light sensors, and Razer’s signature Chroma RGB. At its core, the device currently leverages xAI’s Grok engine to power its “PC Vision Mode,” allowing it to analyze on-screen gameplay or complex documents via a high-bandwidth USB-C connection to a Windows PC.

For some time, man had suffered in a world lacking an smart speaker with a camera, tits, short skirt, and ability to monitor everything he did on his computer. That world was about to end.

Web devs need hardware integration support too.