What events do you think are likely to happen this calendar year? What percent odds would you put on such events happening?

  • pulsewidth@lemmy.world
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    18 hours ago
    • AI bubble will pop when the datacenters that are financed to be completed in the first quarter fail to meet their deadlines, and continue to fail to meet them mid-year. Banks will pull loans, and rapidly, the dominoes will fall. I doubt OpenAI will survive 2026 (fingers crossed), Nvidia may, since theyre actually shipping products and making sales off the bubble - they’ll take a big hit, as will Microsoft, Google, Facebook. It will cause a worldwide recession if not a financial crisis. 75% chance by EOY.

    • Trump will die. His health has circled the drain for years, and there’s only so many medical interventions that can be applied. 50% chance.

    • I’ll finally wash my car (been putting it off all 2025), 95% chance.