What events do you think are likely to happen this calendar year? What percent odds would you put on such events happening?

  • pulsewidth@lemmy.world
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    7 hours ago
    • AI bubble will pop when the datacenters that are financed to be completed in the first quarter fail to meet their deadlines, and continue to fail to meet them mid-year. Banks will pull loans, and rapidly, the dominoes will fall. I doubt OpenAI will survive 2026 (fingers crossed), Nvidia may, since theyre actually shipping products and making sales off the bubble - they’ll take a big hit, as will Microsoft, Google, Facebook. It will cause a worldwide recession if not a financial crisis. 75% chance by EOY.

    • Trump will die. His health has circled the drain for years, and there’s only so many medical interventions that can be applied. 50% chance.

    • I’ll finally wash my car (been putting it off all 2025), 95% chance.

  • SuperSpruce@lemmy.zip
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    1 day ago

    GPUs will get more expensive as the VRAM will be diverted to much more profitable datacenter GPUs during the RAM shortage.

  • frog_brawler@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago
    • Market crash around March or April - 50%
    • Drought and tons of wildfires in the western US starting around June - 90%
    • Phil Collins RIP - 🤷‍♂️%
  • missingno@fedia.io
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    2 days ago
    • AI bubble doesn’t dramatically pop in the way people might be expecting, but much of the tech industry will become more and more of a disaster over time. Especially the job market. But they’ll keep insisting everything is normal and this isn’t a pop.
    • Linux marketshare rises a full percentage point.
    • A major assassination of a billionaire or politician. A much bigger incident than Brian Thompson or Charlie Kirk. With how much more venomous the political climate keeps becoming, I expect violence to escalate into something this severe.
    • No consequences whatsoever for Donald Trump. Given his health there’s a small possibility he just dies though, but that’s the only possible way he ever leaves office.
    • Frieren season 2 will be peak, and it’ll be the one little bit of joy to keep me going just a little longer.
    • Washedupcynic@lemmy.ca
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      1 day ago

      Frieren season 2 will be peak, and it’ll be the one little bit of joy to keep me going just a little longer.

      I’m also looking forward to this. The show made me ugly cry, several times.

  • mrmaplebar@fedia.io
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    2 days ago
    • AI bubble pops as investors begin to realize that nobody is willing to pay for this stuff that they’re sinking their money into.
    • China invades Taiwan. It’s brutal and bloody. The US destroys TSMC and other key technologically significany global infrastructure.
    • As a result, the global economy again collapses as the bottom drops out of the stock market and multiple high profile companies go bankrupt. Executives get golden parachute on the way out.
    • Venezuela is going to turn ugly as a power struggle ramps up among rival entities.
    • The US will invade Columbia and Panama, but not Greenland.
    • Ukraine will continue fighting against Russia, the stalemate will continue.
    • Interest rates are going to be ramped up too fast in a effort to juice the economy before the midterm elections. Only to make inflation worse. We will continue to see prices increase.
    • Trump and the Republicans are going to hype up another racist fear tactic as red meat for their base.
    • Trump’s mental and physical health problems get worse, his deterioration is very obvious but nobody will say or do anything about it.
    • ICEs violence will increase, as will anger of protestors. We will see riots and mass unrest.
    • The Republicans lose the midterm in a landslide, Trump whines about it on truth social, calling it rigged.
    • Wildfires in the west, hurricanes in the east.
    • The internet gets even more dead and useless as more and more AI slop fills up every nook and cranny of all mainstream sites. Subculture sites and the Fediverse remain mostly fine.
    • Tollana1234567@lemmy.today
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      1 day ago

      i feel like the dead internet theory is already on most of the social media platforms. more than half of reddit is AI/ and bot slop.

      they just extend the insurance subsidized, both parties know they are going to lose seats over if they dint.

  • atro_city@fedia.io
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    2 days ago

    A cure for Alzheimers is found. This one says it’s possible in animals. This year, I predict one will be found in vitro for humans.

    The EU will change from a Union to something else and kick out Hungary Orban and his party will lose in the upcoming Hungarian elections.

    The Dutch government will fall again.

    Germany will not ban their Nazi, Russian spy party.

    A Nordic country will decide to get rid of their “kronen” and introduce it in 2027/2028.

    Malta will be rocked by another pedophile scandal.

    All the Epstein files will be released and Trump will be impeached as a result. (Lots of other politicians will be implicated but nothing will happen to them).

    The UK will lose another royal.

    China will invade Taiwan. Japan will go to war with them.

    Linux will hit 8% marketshare.

    • unsettlinglymoist@lemmy.world
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      A Nordic country will decide to get rid of their “kronen” and introduce it in 2027/2028.

      Euro adoption? Nope, guaranteed won’t happen. Norway and Iceland aren’t EU members and Finland already adopted the Euro. Denmark has a permanent opt-out and will never be required to adopt the Euro, and most Danes oppose adopting it. In Sweden public support for Euro adoption is similarly low, so although the country doesn’t have an opt-out like Denmark, the government uses a legal workaround to avoid adopting it.

      • atro_city@fedia.io
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        1 day ago

        Sweden and Finland joined NATO after decades of not being in it. I wouldn’t put it past them to join the Eurozone to be able to get rid of Mastercard and VISA and join WERO.

        • unsettlinglymoist@lemmy.world
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          Mastercard/Visa and Wero is a hot issue on Lemmy, but I would bet the vast majority of Swedes have never heard of Wero and aren’t particularly concerned about Mastercard and Visa being American. Most Swedes have long been wary of the Euro and that’s unlikely to change in the near future.

  • fujiwood@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    All temperature records are broken again.

    Weather is even more extreme than the past few years.

    More wild fires, longer droughts, more intense hurricanes, tornados, typhoons and flooding. All once-in-a decade/generation/100 years events happen again.

  • Luci@lemmy.ca
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    2 days ago
    • Trump resigns after careful consideration
    • Elon decides to fly on a SpaceX flight, it doesn’t go well
    • We find a cure for cilantro tasting like soap for some people
    • RAM prices drop lower than ever
  • Junkers_Klunker@feddit.dk
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    2 days ago

    I’m gonna end up as canon fodder when the fascists comes for Greenland. I’m quite good at handling rifles and pistols as I’m a active member of the local shooting range but do to a serious accident I can’t run any more.

  • tal@lemmy.today
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    2 days ago
    • RAM prices will continue to rise for at least the first half of the year, just going on the fact that I’ve read plenty of statements to that extent and no disagreement.

    • The Democrats will win control of the House in the US in the midterm elections. That’ll set off a number of investigations which will have Trump and Trump cabinet members spending a lot of time in House hearings, and news about that will be a major news item for the next two years, as the parties angle for political advantage there.

    • xAI will not build an artificial general intelligence. Elon Musk will, following tradition, issue a new prediction as to how AGI is imminent and maybe one more year down the road.

    • The Trump administration will not invade Canada or Greenland. Trump will continue to suggest that he might whenever a topic comes up that he doesn’t want news coverage of, the present undesirable topic being the expiring ACA subsidy and people’s healthcare prices going up.